Please Look At Our New Reliever’s Wikipedia Page

May 31, 2009 at 3:42 pm | Posted in Eric Stults, Travis Schlichting | 6 Comments

Eric Stults has pitched his way right onto the DL (thanks for making me look bad, Eric) with a severe case of “he sucked, but let’s go with.. *throws dart at board*… thumb“. In his place, right-handed reliever Travis Schlichting gets the call from AA Chattanooga.

schlichtingwikipedia.jpgHe’s not someone I know a whole lot about, so I started doing some research and… well, look, I know Wikipedia is hardly a paragon of truth in journalism, but still, when you look up biographical information on a pitcher, you don’t expect to see this picture (at right) on his page. I suppose that’s sort of like seeing James Loney as a top high school pitcher on his own page.

Anyway, that’s not an incorrect picture, it’s just old – Schlichting was drafted by Tampa Bay in the 4th round of the 2003 draft and never really hit in about 900 low minors at-bats between 2003-05. In 2006, he was traded to the Angels for catcher Josh Paul, and did so well as a 21-year-old in A ball that they flat-out cut him.

Here’s the interesting part, though. He decided to reinvent himself as a pitcher, and went off to the independent leagues to do so. So just two years ago, he was pitching for a Kansas City T-Bones team populated by an entire roster of guys no one has ever heard of, other than perhaps failed Orioles prospect and real-life Crash Davis, Calvin Pickering. That league (2007 Northern League) featured such well-known outfits as the Joliet Jackhammers, Gary Southshore Railcats, Fargo-Moorhead Redhawks, and the Edmonton Cracker-Cats (go Cracker-Cats!!). Here’s the real kicker: Schlichting was terrible. Sure, it was his first year as a pitcher, so fine. But a 5.29 ERA and a 1.980 WHIP (and allowing 12.7 hits/9) in the indy leagues hardly puts a guy on the fast past to major league stardom.

Somehow – and believe me, I would love to know how this happened, so please email me or comment if you know – that got him an invite to Dodgers camp last year and a spot on the AA Jacksonville Suns, where he was actually decent, putting up a 3.77 ERA in 59.2 innings, and cutting that WHIP down to 1.274. Kept in AA as the affiliation switched to Chattanooga this year, he’s been phenomenal, allowing just one earned run in 13.2 innings thus far. As far as what he throws, his skill-set, etc, just check out the prospect profile over at FNCN, because I’m not coming up with anything to add to that.

I know this, though: a story like “terrible third baseman to lousy independent league pitcher to the bigs in less than three years” is enough to get my attention.

Don’t Expect to See This Again For A While

May 31, 2009 at 9:24 am | Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments

255269494_6c33b8a238.jpgNo, don’t worry – there’s nothing wrong with Chad Billingsley. The point here is a pitcher batting in the road grays, because after tonight’s game in Chicago (Eric Milton on ESPN! …whoooo?) the Dodgers don’t play a road game in an NL park until July 3 in San Diego - which just so happens to be the day that Manny returns.

The entirety of June’s road schedule will be in AL parks, as the Dodgers play three each in Texas, Anaheim, and Chicago. So get used to the DH! For a second, I wondered if that would be the time that you’d have to drop off of 13 pitchers (which will be restored when Hiroki Kuroda takes AJ Ellis’ spot on Monday), because if you’re adding another bat to the lineup, you’re down to just two non-backup-catcher reserves, which is quite a thin bench. But then I thought about it for a bit, and I realized the exact opposite might be true. You’re not pinch-hitting for anyone in this lineup, and now you don’t even have to worry about the pitcher. Why shouldn’t Joe Torre just throw in Mark Loretta as DH, or sometimes Juan Pierre or Andre Ethier with Jamie Hoffmann in the outfield, and toss the lineup card away?

And that is why I prefer the National League.

Eric Stults May Be Pitching For His Job Today

May 30, 2009 at 7:28 am | Posted in Eric Milton, Eric Stults | 12 Comments

With the news that Hiroki Kuroda will make his long-awaited return from the DL to pitch at Dodger Stadium on Monday, someone’s going to have to be dropped from the rotation – and it’s obviously going to be Eric Stults or Eric Milton. Since they’re pitching back-to-pack this weekend against the same opponent (each on national TV, no less) it makes a pretty nice competition between the two. However, dodgers.com seems to have already declared a winner: 

stultslaststart.jpg“Will likely make his last start for a while” sounds pretty pro-Milton to me. Are we really that sure of the outcome already? Sure, Milton was nice the last time out, getting a win in Colorado, but he only went five innings and was hardly dominant. Stults has had two lousy starts in a row, but he did throw a fantastic shutout the time before that and was effective in four of his first five starts preceding the shutout.

I tend to think that it’s probably not going to matter much, both due to the big lead and because it’s likely both are still going to get some time as the #5 starter regardless, but let’s not write off Stults so easily. He’s inconsistent, but he’s shown some real talent at times. And isn’t that all you can ask for from a #5 starter?

(I now reserve the right to delete this entire post if he goes out and gets lit up today.)

From 12 Pitchers to 3 Catchers

May 29, 2009 at 5:37 am | Posted in A.J. Ellis, Will Ohman | 5 Comments

From DodgerThoughts:

After tonight’s game, the Dodgers placed Will Ohman on the disabled list, according to Dodgers  broadcaster Charley Steiner (via Dodger Thoughts commenter Dave60). The team called up catcher A.J. Ellis, moving back to a 12-man pitching staff and freeing Brad Ausmus to pinch-hit more frequently.

87toppsajellis.jpgWell, then. Ellis is likely only up for a week or so until Hiroki Kuroda’s ready to return from the DL, so this isn’t really a huge deal either way. I’m just not quite sure I understand why a team with only one backup outfielder and two backup infielders is investing in a third catcher. Ellis is doing nicely at Albuquerque (.819 OPS), but he’s hardly the superstar of the club. Infielders Blake DeWitt (.908) and Hector Luna (1.086!!), along with outfielder Dee Brown (1.020) and 1B/3B/OF Mitch Jones (.977, 15 HR) have all been productive. (Hmm, I sense that Jones is going to be this year’s Terry Tiffee).

Granted, Ausmus is hitting much better than we’d thought (which should tell you something when even that is just a 106 OPS+), but I just don’t see how having him available to pinch hit is better than having one of the aforementioned guys who are both swinging the bat well in AAA and offer positional flexibility that this team could probably use.

On the other hand, when this is the biggest thing we have to complain about – and it’s not really even a complaint, as much as an observation – you know things are going fantastically.

As for Ohman, you’re almost glad to see that something’s wrong because he’s been lousy lately. Rotoworld says it’s a “sore left shoulder”, but nothing too serious, which is basically doublespeak for “you’ve been bad, go take a break, we’ll make something up.” He better turn it around upon his return, if only because he’s the funniest guy on the team, by far.

Who Needs Jonathan Broxton?

May 28, 2009 at 8:01 pm | Posted in Ramon Troncoso | 2 Comments

Knowing that absolutely no one was backing him up – and don’t even get me started on the possibility of Guillermo Mota coming into a tight game in the 9th – Ramon Troncoso just struck out three over two innings to nail down the save. Oh sure, it wasn’t the prettiest thing you’ll ever see, since the Cubs did load the bases and get the winning run on in the 9th, but still: if there’s one questionable area on this team, it’s the bullpen, and seeing Troncoso step up like that was huge.

That’s 19 games over .500, if you’re keeping track. Which we clearly are.

tron.jpg

At This Point, I Don’t Even Care That It’s a Jinx

May 28, 2009 at 11:58 am | Posted in 2009 rules so far, baseball prospectus | 8 Comments

As I certainly don’t need to tell you, the Dodgers have won 10 of their last 13 – including sweeps of the Mets and Rockies – and are now 18-7 in May, 18 games over .500, and 8.5 games ahead in the division. All this, despite playing a good chunk of the season without their best hitter and just about all of it without one of their best pitchers. And really, what team is going to be picking up a better hitter/pitcher combination at the deadline than Manny Ramirez and Hiroki Kuroda?

It’s with this in mind that I present to you the “Less Than 10% Chance to Make the Playoffs”
 club, presented on MLBtraderumors but pulled from Baseball Prospectus:

  • dodgerscelebrate.jpgPirates – 9.46%
  • Giants – 8.78%
  • Mariners – 6.14%
  • Rockies: 4.84%
  • Athletics: 4.36%
  • White Sox: 4.33%
  • Marlins: 3.20%
  • Orioles: 2.77%
  • Diamondbacks: 2.58%
  • Astros: 2.25%
  • Nationals: 0.52%

You may have noticed that three of the other four NL West teams are represented on that “no chance in hell” list – the Giants, Rockies, and Diamondbacks. What’s more, the Padres, even after their impressive win streak, have only pushed themselves up to an 11.94% chance. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are there at a 93.3% chance of taking the division, and a 95.8% chance of making the playoffs. No other team even sniffs 80%, though I will of course grant the wekaness of the rest of the NL West plays a large role in that.

Need any more proof that this is our year? We, of course, have all marveled at what Juan Pierre’s done since taking over for Manny. Now BP chimes in as well:

How discouraging must it be for National League teams to witness what the Dodgers are doing without Manny Ramirez in the lineup? You see a guy with Hall of Fame credentials sit for nearly two months, replaced by a speedy singles hitter and think maybe — just maybe — you’ve got a chance to gain some ground.

Then Juan Pierre goes out and forgets he’s not very good. No, he isn’t hitting like Ramirez — few people do — but he’s producing at a level (.404/.469/.544) that nobody could have anticipated. Granted, it’s a small sample, but Pierre has already covered more than one-third of Manny’s Surprise Vacation.

Even if he reverts to career norms tomorrow, Pierre has done enough damage to help keep opponents at bay. He is hitting like a legitimate big-league left fielder. That isn’t supposed to happen for any extended period of time, and when it does, it creates problems. What should be a weakness for the Dodgers isn’t.

One day you look up and realize that they are dominating with Pierre in the lineup. Then you remember that he’s just a temporary fix and that eventually Ramirez will return.

That can’t be a comfortable thought. I’m just sayin’.

We’re truly living a charmed life right now, aren’t we?

MSTI Special Feature: Mond… Wednesdays With Torgy (Season 2, Episode 2)

May 27, 2009 at 7:42 pm | Posted in Mondays With Torgy | Leave a comment

mondays-with-torgy3.jpg

A little late here, this week, my apologies.  With Memorial Day and other things going on throughout this week, I wasn’t able to get on, but I am now and here to offer you the latest version of Mondays With Torgy… except on a Wednesday. 

Take it away, Torgy! 

Not a great week on the farm. If the pitching didn’t blow, a whole
team would take the week off with the stick as the Loons did. Aside
from some movement of players, nothing earth-shattering happened on the
farm. Jason Schmidt made a start at Albuquerque and took a ground ball
off of his forehead. As one observer said, at least his arm didn’t fall
off. A better start for Hiroki Kuroda as he went nearly four innings in
his initial rehab start at Inland Empire, giving up only one hit while
striking out three. The latest expectation is for Hiro to get a couple
more starts before replacing Eric Milton in the rotation, and that
can’t happen too soon for my liking. Jason Repko and Jaime Ortiz are
off the DL and both have looked good in their first games back. Lucas
May, who finally got hot (.516 over his past ten games with better
plate discipline as an 8/6 bb/k shows), got himself hurt and is on the
7-day DL. In a combination of moves after Jamie Hoffman was called up
to Los Angeles, Jovanny Rosario was called up to Albuquerque – which
makes sense as Andrew Lambo is still trying to figure out the strike
zone – and Eduardo Perez got the call to Chattanooga to likely end
Russell Mitchell’s stay as the Lookouts’ first baseman. Ortiz took
Perez’ slot at Inland Empire and it was not too soon as Scott Van Slyke
has hit bottom, hard. He is four for his forty-four and has not drawn
many walks in that time frame, not that he was showing much discipline
to begin with.

Aside from the Casey Blake like hot streak of Hector Luna or the
power explosion of Dee Brown, there isn’t much to talk about in
Albuquerque. Still, Luna could be a decent corner infield addition as
he is raking and his ops is 1.117. Keep in mind, he is built like Pablo
Sandoval and I doubt he has Sandoval’s upside as he is 29. The same can
be said for Dee Brown, who has six bombs in his last ten games, but is
even older than Luna and built very much like Sandoval. The Blue can
attract the fat ones. Of the real prospects, Blake DeWitt is struggling
versus lefty pitchers, but otherwise is showing rare discipline in the
‘topes’ lineup as his .398 obp shows. His power numbers are still not
great, but adequate for a second baseball with a .474 slugging
percentage. The other prospect, AJ Ellis, would love to have a slugging
percentage anywhere near DeWitt’s. His .445 obp is fantastic, but his
slugging percentage is a very abysmal .363. I guess for a backup
catcher type, those numbers have some value, but I would like a catcher
to have some pop. On the pitching front, James McDonald is still messed
up. He is not getting many innings as his command and pitch counts are
terrible. He is averaging a strike out an inning, but his WHIP (1.65)
is suffering from his control issues.

Now to Chattanooga. You look at the numbers and you just shake your
head. ERAs over four for both Josh Lindblom and Scott Elbert, terrible
obps for Andrew Lambo and Tony Abreu and one has to wonder if we have a
problem. But, upon closer inspection, those numbers don’t show the real
performance. I will start with Lindblom. Most see an ERA of 4.01 and
think the kid is overrated. Wrong, his WHIP is 1.01, his baa is .238
and he has a 31/3 k/bb ratio. Add to the fact that he has given up only
two home runs, this season, and one would ask why he is still in
Chattanooga. Elbert’s numbers are not as good as Lindblom’s, but if we
minus out his last start, his numbers are very close to Lindblom, aside
from the k/bb ratio. Still, Elbert is averaging over a strike out an
inning and has kept the ball in the park. His command issues are still
there as he is averaging a walk every two innings. Still, that is
showing some improvement for Elbert as he was good for two walks every
three innings in the past. The bullpen arms of Garate, Koss, Sartor and
Rodriguez continue to perform well and with Cory Wade doing a fine
impression of a gascan, we do have some help close by.

Aside from Josh Bell, there is not much to get giddy about in the
Lookout lineup. Bell, who is still healthy, had a very nice ten game
run where he hit .361 with two bombs and ten ribs. He is showing an
improved idea at the plate as his strikeouts have come down as his base
on balls are increasing. Right now he has a 25/32 bb/k ratio. All in
all, his numbers are better and it is affecting his glove work as he is
not clearing out the seats behind first base as often. Andrew Lambo is
showing an upswing, but obp percentage is not acceptable at .330. He is
showing sufficient pop and one can give him a pass as he is very young
for the Southern League. Tony Abreu is hitting well, .372 over the past
ten days, but he has only drawn one walk this year and that isn’t going
to impress the folks in LA. Lastly, get healthy quick Lucas May. I know
I have been hard on the kid in the past, with good reason, but he is
showing signs that he could be getting an idea and so there is some
hope he could be as good as Logan White thinks.

I wish I had something exciting to say about the Sixers, but it was
one bad stretch for the kids. We have already covered Scott Van Slyke’s
tribulations, so I will look at what has worked this week. Preston
Mattingly had a great week, bringing his average up to. 306 with a .356
week with a pair of bombs and six ribs. Unfortunately, Preston didn’t
land too close to the tree as he has drawn only one walk, this season.
It might behoove dad to work with his son on plate discipline. The same
issue is prevalent with the franchise as only Alex Garabedian has a
reasonable obp. Trayvon Robinson is still raking, but he is striking
out like a young Kingman, albeit without the power. On the pitching
end, Tim Sexton and Alberto Bastardo continue to show signs of being
prospects, but Steve Johnson is putting up some impressive numbers. He
has 60ks in 47ip and his baa is .230. It would be interesting to see
how he would do in less pitcher-friendly league. Erik Krebs, who we
acquired in the Delwyn Young trade made his debut, working two innings
with a strikeout.

Again, the sticks have taken a vacation as the Loons had only one
hitter show any life, this week. Anthony Hatch, all of 25, had the only
good week. Tony Delmonico, Jaime Pedroza, Dee Gordon, Kyle Russell and
Austin Gallagher all had weeks that would frighten Stephen King.
Delmonico had the best numbers of the lot, hitting .238. I should be
fair, Nick Buss pushed his ba up to .301 and showed some pop,
otherwise, it was plenty ugly in the batters box for the Loons. On the
pitching end, the pen continues to be the Loons’ strength. Javy Guerra
and his .71 WHIP is the leader of this fine pen. His baa is .138 and he
has a 5/1 k/bb split. Equally impressive have been Robert Boothe and
Josh Walter. Booth, our Japanese import, is putting up some scary
numbers as a set up guy. In 23 innings, he has 37 strikeouts and has
yet to give up a home run. He is holding hitters to a .200 batting
average. Walter also has looked strong 4.5/1 bb/k split. He is even
more stingy than Boothe as opposing hitters are only hitting .190
against him.

Lastly, Ethan Martin had a start that I think he would want to
forget. In his last outing, he went only one and two thirds innings,
giving up eight earned runs and not striking out a single hitter. Even
with that abomination, he is keeping opposing hitters in control with a
.234 baa and his strikeout numbers are still promising as he has 45ks
in 36 innings. Justin Miller has been improving on his numbers and I
still regard him as a very interesting pitching prospect.

With the Amateur Draft coming up, it would be remiss of me to not
speculate on what Logan White will do a couple weeks. The latest mock
has the Dodgers taking rhp Matt Hobgood from Norco, CA. Hobgood has the
requisite size and arm that appeals to Logan White. He is a 6’5″ 240lb
righty (sounds just like Lindblom) with a power fastball and two other
plus pitches. The big question concerning him is his command or lack
thereof. Other names attached to the Dodgers with their first pick are
rhp/ss Mychal Givens and c Austin Maddox. Both would be reaches at 36,
but reasonable picks in the second round. IMHO, I like Keyvius Sampson
as our first pick. He shows some of the same abilities as Edwin Jackson
with the same command issues, but any kid who can deal at 97 is worth
my interest. Other names, in the later rounds, that I hope we take a
hard look at are c Luke Bailey (could be a steal as he is recovering
from TJ surgery) and cf/lhp James Jones from Long Island University.
Jones, who looked like a strong pitching prospect has had a bad year on
the hill, but has looked very good with the stick and could have five
tool ability.

Seeing as how we don’t have a first round pick, it appears that
Frank McCourt is figuring out we can augment our draft by being players
on the international market. To that end, our presence in the Dominican
is returning to the heydays of the seventies and eighties. Although we
are not players for the big names, Guillermo Pimentel or Miguel Sano,
we are close with outfielder Wagner Mateo, who some feel is nearly as
good as Pimentel, plus we are leading the pace on five tool outfielder,
Jose Pena and are have made a big impression with Luis Jolly, another
outfielder with a strong bat, but likely a future left fielder as his
arm is not good. In the Far East, Logan White just recently inked a 22
year old righy from Korea, Ji-Mo Lee. Lee, who last pitched for the
Lotte Giants, has completed his military hitch and White gushed over
his pitches. I suspect we will see him in Ogden in a couple weeks. We
have also been scouting high school lefty, Yusei Kikuchi, who has been
compared with Junichi Tazawa, the recently signed Red Sox prospect.
Kikuchi has a higher upside than Tazawa, but is also more raw and will
not make his debut in AA as Tazawa has. That is all I have this week,
but as the draft approaches, I will be going to draft mode. Hopefully,
we will have a better idea what Logan White will do.

Thanks, Torgy!  Until next time!  

- Vin vinscully-face.jpg

Casey Blake’s Blood Smells Like Cologne

May 27, 2009 at 9:10 am | Posted in Casey Blake, Jason Schmidt | 3 Comments

Good lord, with this. After last night’s two double, three RBI performance, Casey Blake is now hitting .309 – and it’s high time to recognize what he’s doing. Remember yesterday, when I went over what the young hitting core has (or in some case, hasn’t) done since Manny’s suspension? Well, dig Casey’s line of .431/.462/.793, with 4 homers and 14 RBI. How’s that for a slice of fried gold?

87toppscaseyblake.jpgIn fact, last night’s victory was just more evidence of what I’d put forward yesterday, despite the claims of Peter Gammons: it’s the veterans who are driving this offense right now, not the kids. Blake, Juan Pierre (who got extensive praise here), and Orlando Hudson (who is far overdue for a post about his great start) combined for 7 hits, 6 RBI, and 2 walks, while even old-and-busted Juan Castro and Brad Ausmus had 2 hits apiece. Hell, even Eric Milton stepped up with 5 effective innings for his first victory since about 1976. Meanwhile, James Loney, Matt Kemp, and Andre Ethier combined for just 1 hit. That’s a seperate issue of its own, of course, but what Blake is doing has been dramatic.

Casey’s .956 OPS is 4th among all MLB 3B, behind only the incomparable Evan Longoria, Ryan Zimmerman, and David Wright, and his slugging percentage ranks 3rd. What’s really most impressive is the timing of his streak, however, because at the end of the last game Manny played, Blake’s OPS was just .751 – 200 points lower than it is now. While other guys have struggled to pick up the slack, Blake’s been phenomenal. 

“But MSTI,” you might say. “You hated – hatedthe trade that brought Blake here. Then, when Colletti gave him a three-year deal, you hated that too. Aren’t you being a little hypocritical now?” And it’s true, I did hate both of those moves. The trade gave up far too much, because Carlos Santana was ranked higher than Matt LaPorta, and the Brewers got CC Sabathia for LaPorta, and while the money was okay on the contract, the third year seemed completely unneccessary.

That doesn’t mean that I can’t enjoy Blake’s contributions, because I never said he was a bad player – just that he wasn’t worth what was given up to acquire him. Blake’s been a good addition to the team, but look at it this way: I’d love to see Albert Pujols in blue, and I’d cheer for his performance no matter what. But if it took Chad Billingsley, Clayton Kershaw, Matt Kemp, Russell Martin, and Andrew Lambo to acquire him, and then Pujols was given a 20 year, $800 million contract, I’d still say that Pujols wasn’t worth that cost. Oh sure, watching him hit .350 with 37 homers would be great, but not at that cost.

That’s besides the point, though, because Blake has really been a life-saver at the best possible time. I won’t even get on him for his inevitable second half slide (.813 career first-half OPS vs. .760 second-half OPS) because by that point, Manny will be back and you like to think that Ethier, Furcal, & the rest will have gotten going. We needed Casey Blake right now, and he’s done nothing but step up. He is indeed, the most interesting man in the world. And he’s even mocking the Giants

(Completely unrelated note: a veteran not helping out would be Jason Schmidt, shut down with shoulder soreness, according to Tony Jackson. It’s official: this horse needs to be put down.) 

Peter Gammons Thinks Manny’s Suspension Was a Good Thing

May 26, 2009 at 10:49 am | Posted in Andre Ethier, James Loney, Manny Ramirez, Matt Kemp, Russell Martin | 8 Comments

This morning on ESPN’s SportsCenter, Peter Gammons (one of the few guys over there who I still have some respect left for, even if he is too Boston-centric) offered the opinion that since the Dodgers are actually scoring more runs per game without Manny than with him, his suspension will end up being a good thing. Unfortunately, I can’t find the video online, but the general point of Gammons’ argument was that “young hitters like Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, James Loney, and Russell Martin have really stepped up their game and proven they can play without Manny, and that will only make them better when he returns.” (Paraphrased, of course.)

Let’s step back for a moment, because while I also tried to say that there were some good things about Manny’s suspension in the immediate aftermath (fresh, motivated Manny; better defense, etc) that was more an attempt by me to find the silver lining in the epic shitstorm cloud that had erupted in the media; by no means was I actually happy that Manny got caught nor did I think that those positives outweighed the negative press that came with it.

While it’s true that the team hasn’t really missed a beat (as most educated Dodger fans predicted would happen, but let’s forget the “scoring more runs per game” stat, since that wasn’t the case before yesterday’s 16-run outburst), it’s hard to see Gammons’ point that the reason the team is winning is because the young players have taken charge in the post-Manny era:

OPS with Manny (29 games)
Andre Ethier: .995
Matt Kemp: .844
James Loney: .712
Russell Martin: .634

OPS without Manny (17 games)
Andre Ethier: .409
Matt Kemp: .807
James Loney: .771
Russell Martin: .811

Ethier’s been completely awful since, and Kemp has declined as well. Loney’s improved a bit, and Martin’s really taken off. Overall, it’s a decline, as these four combined for an average .796 OPS with Manny, and are now only at .699 OPS without. I won’t go so far as to say any of this is directly related to Manny, but what’s been keeping the offense afloat has really been the contributions of Juan Pierre, Orlando Hudson, and Casey Blake – as much as I hate to admit it, it’s been the veterans. Though not all of them, as the pain in Rafael Furcal’s behind is only a small slice of the pain he’s been in all of ours.

As we’d all said from the very beginning, weathering the 50 games without Manny wasn’t going to be as big of a deal as many thought it would be. But let’s not pretend as though all of the young guys are really carrying the team and are gaining confidence from the Manny-free success, because don’t you have to wonder where Ethier’s confidence is right now? You’ve got young guys contributing, you’ve got old guys contributing, and you’ve even got Juan Pierre helping out. Add that to the surprisingly effective pitching staff, and that’s a recipe for team success. 

(Completely unrelated note: Reason #12387123 why wins are a terrible pitching metric. Will Ohman faced three batters yesterday, and walked two of them. Only 7 of the 17 pitches he threw were for strikes. Yet, he gets the win. Love that stat!) 

Memorial Day Fun Times

May 25, 2009 at 7:19 am | Posted in Cory Wade, Hong-Chih Kuo, Jamie Hoffmann | 1 Comment

Happy Memorial Day, everyone. In years past, a loss like yesterday’s would have killed me, seeing a winnable game slip away as Chad Billingsley faltered and the bullpen imploded. But now? Just a blip on the radar, as the Dodgers still have four more wins than anyone in baseball and lead the division by a comfortable 7.5 games. The Padres have indeed shockingly won nine in a row, but can we really get ourselves all worked up thinking they’re for real? No way. Besides, as SOSG so astutely pointed out, Padres victories might actually be good for the Dodgers. Let’s take a quick jaunt around the interwebs for some fun facts before returning to your regularly-scheduled day of overindulgence and outdoor activities.


militaryfirstpitch.jpg* Now here’s a tradition we should bring back.
Last year on this day, Inside the Dodgers posted some Memorial Day Dodger stats, including noting,

The Dodgers played 58 doubleheaders on Memorial Day from 1890-1957 (68 seasons) and have three in Los Angeles. The last was 1980 in Cincinnati.

We all know it’ll never happen, but wouldn’t you love to see that? After honoring our servicemen, what is Memorial Day if not barbeque and baseball? The more of each the better, I say.

* Now here’s a tradition we should definitely not bring back. Last year on this day, Inside the Dodgers, after posting the aforementioned holiday note, put up the lineup for that day’s game against the Cubs. It included Jeff Kent hitting cleanup (in the midst of challenging for the title of “Worst cleanup hitter season ever”), the corpse of Mark Sweeney hitting fifth, and Luis Maza eighth. Needless to say, the Dodgers only scored one run and saddled Billingsley with a loss, despite going six innings and allowing two runs. Remember, that was the lineup just one year ago. My, how things have changed.

* Today’s going to be a good day. The current members of the Dodgers roster, as a group, have had great success against Rockies starter Jorge de la Rosa in the past, combining for a line of .344/.398/.598 with 4 homers in 108 plate appearances. Blake, Kemp, and Loney lead the way, as each have homered against him and have career OPS’s over 1.000. The only guy who really hasn’t had success is Andre Ethier, who’s just 1 for 7 with 2 K’s, but I’m sure he’ll play anyway if his toe is okay.  

* Cory Wade’s deal with the devil may have expired. After a second ugly performance in a row yesterday, you don’t need me to tell you he’s not been himself this year, but here’s part of the reason…

BABIP – League Average, 2008-09: .264
BABIP – Cory Wade, RHP, LA, 2008: .227 
BABIP – Cory Wade, RHP, LA, 2008: .363

Wade has gone from being absurdly lucky in 2008 to completely unlucky in 2009 – nearly a 140 point rise in batting average on balls in play. There’s more to it than that, of course, because his K/9 rate is down (6.43 to 4.91) and his BB/9 rate is way up (1.89 to 3.68), and that’s two metrics that are headed in the wrong direction. However, that BABIP has to come back down to average at some point, and his FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an alternative way of calculating ERA, defined as a stat which “helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded”) is actually lower than last year (3.78 to 3.28).

Cory definitely needs to get a handle on those free passes, but otherwise, things are not nearly as bad as they may seem with him. Besides, don’t let that “actual” ERA of 6.14 fool you; every single run he’s given up this year has come in just four appearances, meaning that he’s had eleven scoreless outings.

* In case you want to know why Hong-Chih Kuo keeps hurting his arm… Driveline Mechanics takes a look into his wonky mechanics, complete with animations. It’s an interesting read, even if you may need an actual PhD to understand paragraphs like this:

Kuo takes his throwing arm laterally behind his body quite a bit – better known as “reverse rotation.” When he returns it to the throwing side, it causes a serious case of forearm flyout, which causes his olecranon process to slam into its fossa and do serious injury to the elbow.

* You know you’re a big leaguer when: You have to feel good for Jamie Hoffmann, having his first major league hit being a home run (in front of his family, no less) and then later adding an RBI double. As Vin mentioned, he’s been named the best defensive outfielder in the Dodger system by Baseball America for four years running, so while he’s not going to be a star, you think that maybe he’s got a chance to contribute at the big league level. But there’s one thing we know for sure: he’s already got a group of people devoted to pointing out how much he sucks. I’m not even sure what to make of this; the “Jamie Hoffmann Sucks forum” has been up since at least April of 2008, which would be about 13 months before most Dodger fans even knew he existed. Should he be flattered? Offended? Confused? A combination of all three?

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