So We All Agree It’s Cleveland, Right?
November 2, 2009 at 12:21 pm | Posted in Manny Ramirez | 2 CommentsVia Diamond Leung, Bob Keisser of the Riverside Press-Enterprise buries an interesting note deep within his column:
There’s finally some good news for Frank McCourt, although it could be considered bad news by some Dodgers fans.
A baseball insider says the club has been contacted by an American League team that is interested in Manny Ramirez if the team will pay part of his $20 million salary for 2010.
It’s a team that plays in a very mediocre division, has a few team officials familiar with Ramirez, and always needs a bump in notoriety.
McCourt could easily explain the decision by referencing the performance-enhancing drug issue. He would also likely receive some off-the-record support from a few old-timers in the dugout. Plus, he can plead financial hardship because of his pending divorce.
Let’s see, here. Well, you’d never call the AL East a “very mediocre divison”, and while I suppose the AL West isn’t on that level, nor does it have the level of ineptitude the AL Central came up with in displaying two 97-loss teams (Royals, Indians) and a third under .500 (White Sox). Cleveland’s GM, Mark Shapiro, has been with the team since 1991, so that satisfies the “team official familiar with Ramirez” part, and as far as notoriety, well, they’re a 97-loss team in Cleveland.
In addition, according to Cot’s, Manny has a full no-trade clause, so the team would have to think he’d at least be willing to consider waiving it. You really think he’s doing that for Kansas City? Of course he’s not. And what was it he said way back in April of 2009?
Manny Ramirez is already yearning for the old days — of Cleveland.
Ramirez, who early last month signed a two-year, $45 million deal with the Los Angeles Dodgers, says a return to the Cleveland Indians before retirement would be ideal.
“I would like to play for Cleveland one more time, to go back where I started,” Ramirez told USA Today. “I have so many good memories there, why not?
“I think to go back where you started is everyone’s dream.”
So yeah, it’s the Indians. That said, this is never going to happen. Scott Boras would only allow Manny to waive his no-trade if the Indians signed him to a new deal, which they’re unlikely to do, and it’s also unlikely that the Dodgers would be willing to eat enough of the deal to have Manny not play for them to make this work.
Besides, as we discussed just hours ago in our 2009 LF review, Manny’s still a dangerous hitter – and one who should be better next year. We really want to trade down from him to Juan Pierre just to save a few million bucks? On second thought, don’t answer that.
Ah, the joys of completely unrealistic early offseason rumors.
Update: to the surprise of absolutely no one, Ned Colletti has denied this rumor. That tidbit brought to you via the Twitter of the LA Times’ Dylan Hernandez, which just so happens to be his very first Tweet. You’ve got to be some kind of bigshot to get your first Tweet linked by the blogs of strangers!
MSTI’s 2009 in Review: Left Field
November 2, 2009 at 8:53 am | Posted in 2009 in review, Juan Pierre sucks, Manny Ramirez | 8 CommentsBefore we get into left field, I think I need to reiterate our grading scheme here, both because I’ve seen some misunderstandings in the comments and because it’s going to be more important for our left fielders than anyone. The letter grades are A) subjective, meaning they’re based on no statistical work and are only my own feeling, and B) based on reasonable expectations for a player before the year. So just because I gave Russell Martin an F doesn’t mean that I think he should be unemployed, just that he had a terrible year based on what we expected from him. If A.J. Ellis had to play every day and put up the exact same line, he’d probably get a A for it. Got it? Good. Let’s move on to what are sure to be our hardest grading decisions…
Manny Ramirez (D)
(.290/.418/.531 19hr 63rbi)
How do you even grade a year like this? Well, I’ll tell you how I’m not going to grade it – I never expected him to match his 2008 Dodger numbers, which were completely unsustainable and would only have constituted the greatest season in baseball history if held up over a full season, and I’m not going to worry about some of the standard themes we keep hearing of “betrayal”. There’s no question that Manny’s an idiot, but if you were somehow surprised that one of the best home run hitters of the 1990s and 2000s was using a little something extra, then it’s time to pull your head out of the sand. Besides, where’s the outrage over Guillermo Mota? Exactly.
No, we’re going to judge Manny based on his on-the-field performance for the Dodgers in 2009, not based on what gets Kurt Streeter’s panties in a twist. It’s in that sense that Manny gets a huge demerit for being unavailable for 50 games, and then a bit more for the fact that while he was still good, he wasn’t exactly “vintage Manny”. He’s earned every part of that D. That said, despite his stupidity and the embarrassment he caused the team in 2009, I just can’t give an F to a guy who (if he’d had enough plate appearances to qualify) would have finished 9th in MLB in OPS – ahead of Mark Teixeira, Ryan Braun, Miguel Cabrera, and Alex Rodriguez. So for everything that he did do wrong this season, let’s not go overboard with the “Manny’s unemployable without steroids”, okay?
Let’s look a little deeper into Manny’s season to see if that assertion holds up, splitting it into five sections.
1) Opening Day (4/6) -> Suspension (5/6): .348/.492/.641 1.133
Vintage Manny. Better than his career average, actually, so pretty damned good. I can already hear the squawking that “he was still on the juice!”, but don’t forget: he failed his test in Spring Training – and that for a masking agent, not the actual thing - so while he may have still been on the ride at this point, he was hardly shooting up before games.
2) Suspension (5/7 -> 7/2)
Dick. No question about it. Dick. Not only for “letting us down”, if you feel personally offended, but by robbing the team of its best bat for six weeks – and by adding insult to injury by subjecting us to Juan Pierre during that time. Dick.
3) Return (7/3) -> HBP from Homer Bailey (7/21): .333/.429/.688 1.116
His slightly lower OBP was offset by a bump in SLG, equaling nearly the same OPS as he had before the suspension. I don’t remember anyone complaining that he was no good clean during these two weeks, right?
4) Playing with injured hand (7/22 -> 8/28): .264/.366/.400 .766
Despite constant refusals to admit that taking Bailey’s mid-90s heater off his hand was an issue, Manny was clearly not the same player here. Still, no player ever admits that they’re injured, and if this was related to the juice, he’d have been playing like this as soon as he returned, right? Besides, once he’d had a few weeks since the HBP, presumably healing his hand…
5) End of season stretch (8/29 -> 10/3): .241/.400/.517 .917
…his OBP and SLG perked right up. Granted, the batting average isn’t great. Fortunately, we all know better than to rely on batting average as any sort of indicator, and a .917 OPS is still top 20 if he’d put that up over the entire season.
So yeah, Manny’s a jerk. An asshole, even, if you must, and wildly overpaid both this year and next as compared to his production. No doubt. I might not even mind it all that much if he declines his 2010 option (like that’s ever going to happen), but let’s not act as though he’s David Eckstein now, okay? I think what you’re going to see next year is a Manny who’s not only in a contract push, but one who’s had his pride and reputation severely wounded, with all the motivation in the world to overcome that.
Or, he’ll do something else stupid (and no, Plaschke, the “going into the shower” non-story doesn’t count), not hit, and we’ll boo the hell out of him. Whichever.
Juan Pierre (A)
(.308/.365/.392 0hr 31rbi 30sb)
Nope, that’s not a typo. Perpetual MSTI whipping boy Juan Pierre gets an A. But don’t read too much into it, because it’s not due to the fact that he “carried the team” while Manny was out, which we heard far too many times from clueless announcers on other teams and national broadcasts. See, what they always convieniently forget to mention is that while Pierre was actually very good for the first few weeks of starting (even earning his own post here dedicated to his nice play and improved plate discipline), he was worse than ever after that. Of course, most of the media was so involved in the “feel good story” to notice, but the stats make it pretty clear:
This is a pretty common misconception, because if you remember what actually happened:
Games 1-20: .425/.495/.598 1.093 OPS
Games 21-50: .244/.299/.283 .583 OPSSo if by “such a great job” you mean “had a killer hot streak for less than half of Manny’s absence and was worse than ever for the majority of it,” then yes – great job.
It’s worth nothing that while the Dodgers were 13-7 while he was going good, they were just 16-14 when he was killing the offense. So no, Pierre did not “carry the team” or “save the offense” by stepping in for Manny; he combined a very good stretch with an even longer very bad stretch.
Still, those few weeks were great, and that’s about a few more good weeks than I ever expected from him. So there’s your A. Now let’s get back towards trying to trade him this offseason.
Next! Matt Kemp’s breakout year! Jason Repko’s last hurrah! Xavier Paul’s creepy infection! It’s center field!
MSTI’s 2009 In Review: Shortstop
November 1, 2009 at 4:11 pm | Posted in 2009 in review, Chin-Lung Hu, Juan Castro, Rafael Furcal | 2 CommentsWelcome to day 5 of MSTI’s 2009 Year In Review. Have a good Halloween? Good! So as you sit there with your coffee, trying to sober up after your heavy partying last night, pull up a chair and join us, as we tackle SS! Let us begin:
Rafael Furcal = C-
(.269/.335/.375 9hr 47rbi)
You know, Rafael Furcal has now completed his fourth year as a Dodger (already?!) and, even despite that, it still feels a bit difficult at times to truly evaluate his tenure when you look at his numbers. In 2006, he started off sub-par due to wrist and hand issues, only to finish the year as arguably the team’s MVP with a scorching second half. Then in 2007, he comes back with arguably the worst season of his career Then in 2008, he gets off to the best start of his career only to get sidelined for four months with more injuries.
Of course, he comes back in 2009 with one of his worst seasons (by the way, note the weird odd numbered year = bad year, even numbered year = good year?). And, let’s face it, for as much as we like Furcal here at MSTI (his interviews are always such a hoot!), 2009 was a forgettable year for Furcal. Comparing this season to his general career numbers (it wouldn’t be fair to compare them to his one insane month of 2008), we saw a decrease in pretty much all of the important numbers. His .335 OBP this year is lower compared to his career .350 OBP, while his .375 SLG% was lower than his career .408 SLG%. In terms of OPS+, it was a below average 88, while his actual OPS dropped from his career .758 to .711; his EqA of .259 was below his career .269.
Looking further than that, though, let’s compare him with his peers. Amongst the qualified NL SS’s, he ranks 6th out of 9 in BA and OBP, while ranking 8th out of 10 in SLG%, and ranking 7th in MLVr, with a number of -.012. Nonetheless, while Furcal performed poorly for most of the year, he did have a couple of great months, putting up a great July (.343/.395/.500) and really coming on strong at the end with a fantastic September (.330/.400/.491) and looking much more like the Furcal of old. But one thing that didn’t look like the Furcal of old is that he didn’t really steal many bases this year. This year, in his 150 games, we saw him attempt to steal only 18 bases, stealing 12 of them, though the decrease was more than likely an effect of being cautious after last year’s back injuries.
Defensively, Furcal, for the most part, was, well, Furcal and that’s a good thing. His .967 fielding percentage is pretty much par for the course and, while low, it’s generally come from throwing errors throughout his career, as his arm can make him the Rick Vaughn of shortstops at times. His Zone Rating was 5.786 which ranked him 6th amongst NL SS’s. The interesting thing to note with Furcal is that over the past two years, we’ve seen a decrease in his range factor. Through 2007, the worst number he ever had in this category was a 4.77, though since that period, he’s put up numbers of 4.20 and 4.25. Again, 2008 must be noted for being a very short season for Furcal, and, as always the case, defensive stats can be a bit murky, but it is interesting to note the trend continuing into 2009, however much value you want to put into that…
Still, his defense wasn’t something that I had complaints with this year. That was fine. The problem was at the plate and, unfortunately, Furcal put up a year that is to rank amongst his worst, hence the low grade, but the encouraging thing going into 2010 is that he did end the season on very much a high note and finally seemed to start regaining form and hopefully this is something we can see A LOT more of next year. Even if he can’t be the big stolen base threat he used to be, when he’s on as a hitter, he is a very valuable weapon to have, so we shall see what the future holds for him. I mean, it’s an even numbered year next year: he’s gotta do well!
Juan Castro = C-
(.277/.311/.339 1hr 9rbi)
When Colletti signed him earlier this year, it seemed more of just Ned needing more porn to satisfy his fetish of signing light hitting shortstops, but you know what? Even though I wasn’t thrilled with the signing, Castro didn’t embarrass himself this year, either. Well, at least if “this year” is April – July, anyways. During the first half of the season, Castro put up numbers of .357/.397/.437 with an .834 OPS! Really, Juan Castro putting up those numbers?! I mean, geez, what kind of stuff was he pulling out of Manny’s locker to do that?! A welcome surprise, indeed.
Alas, it all crashed and burned in the second half, where Castro went .146/.146/.171 and a .317 OPS to go with it, which is more of the real Castro than what we saw in the first half. Still, did I mention that, despite that second half, he still managed to finish with one of his very best OPS+ in his long and storied 15 year career?
Did I also mention that his career OPS+ is 52?!
Nonetheless, one great half with one awful one? Well, that’s about one more great (or even good) half I thought we’d get from him, and he did play decent defense more times than not, so a C- for you, Fidel.
Chin-Lung Hu = Inc.
(.400/.333/.600 0hr 2rbi)
Given that Chin-Lung Hu had six, yes, count them, SIX plate appearances, do you know how tempted I was just to type in “Hu?” and leave it at that?
Still, even in these six at-bats, Hu managed to get a couple of hits, but he played hardly enough to warrant a great. Though this year in Triple-A Albuquerque, Hu managed to have a slight improvement upon his 2008 year, hitting .294/.332/.393, with 6 HR’s and 53 RBI’s. Not much else to say about the Hu-ster in Dodger Blue in 2009… except, well…
(crickets chirp)
Hey, did you know that, according to Wikipedia, always the crown jewel of credibility, that he has the shortest surname in MLB history?! (Note from MSTI: Or as Diamond Leung Tweeted to me, Hu is now tied with Tigers reliever Fu-Te Ni for that honor).
O.K., I think that means we’ve done enough on shortstop. So tune in next time!
Next! Manny Ramirez’ fertility-fueled fun! Juan Pierre’s battle for relevance! It’s left field!
How Many McCourt Sins?
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